ilmscore | Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decisions Predictions
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Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decisions

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Recent Predictions

Total: 5
Correct: 4
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 1
Unrated: 0
Prediction
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Predicted at
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Video
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at the January 28th meeting has decreased from 13.8% to 5% following the jobs report.
"there was a 13.8% chance that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates at that January 28th meet..."
ClearValue Tax ClearValue Tax
Jan 9, 2026
Correct
Jobs Report: US Labo...
The speaker expects the Federal Reserve to not cut interest rates at the January 28th meeting.
"I expect that the Federal Reserve is not going to cut interest rates at their upcoming meeting in Ja..."
ClearValue Tax ClearValue Tax
Jan 9, 2026
Correct
Jobs Report: US Labo...
The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged at the March 18th meeting has increased from 59.1% to 68.9% following the jobs report.
"Before today's report, there is a 59.1% chance that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unc..."
ClearValue Tax ClearValue Tax
Jan 9, 2026
Correct
Jobs Report: US Labo...
The Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions are reliant on the jobs and inflation reports, which are currently delayed due to the government shutdown.
"the Federal Reserve is, you have to remember, they're being data dependent and making their interest..."
ClearValue Tax ClearValue Tax
Oct 2, 2025
Correct
Government Shutdown ...
Worsening inflation data may pressure the Federal Reserve to refrain from cutting interest rates and possibly even raise them.
"if the inflation data starts to look worse it's going to put a lot of pressure on the better Reserve..."
Minority Mindset Minority Mindse...
Feb 1, 2025
Pending
Trump's Tariffs on C...